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Bezana vs CD Monte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Gonzalez J. D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Bezana and CD Monte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Bezana
15%
Draws
20%
CD Monte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bezana come out ahead of CD Monte on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bezana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bezana Clean Sheet 19%
CD Monte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana CD Monte
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.38 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs CD Monte
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Monte vs Bezana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CD Monte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 85 / 100
CD Monte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana CD Monte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Monte has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Bezana's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bezana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: CD Monte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 8

CD Monte

(Away)
10 May
CD Monte
1 : 2
Atletico Mineros
04 May
Vimenor
4 : 1
CD Monte
27 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 1
CD Monte
16 Apr
CD Monte
4 : 2
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
Bezana
1 : 0
CD Monte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)