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Bezana vs Naval Reinosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Urdiales H.
25' Event
Saiz P.
36' Event
Perez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Bezana and Naval Reinosa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Bezana
20%
Draws
6%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Bezana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bezana a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.35 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Naval Reinosa
3:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Bezana
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Naval Reinosa
3:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Naval Reinosa
1:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Bezana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Urdiales H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lavin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 95 / 100
Naval Reinosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana Naval Reinosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naval Reinosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Bezana has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bezana scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS Naval Reinosa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
10 Oct
Guarnizo
1 : 1
Bezana
03 Oct
Bezana
1 : 0
Vimenor
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
Page 1 of 7

Naval Reinosa

(Away)
10 Oct
Naval Reinosa
2 : 2
Solares
04 Oct
Selaya
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4
CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)