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Bezana vs SD Noja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Lavin M.
44' Event
Martinez I. T.
58' Event
Lavin M.

AI Match Summary

Bezana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bezana
6%
Draws
4%
SD Noja
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bezana have won more games recently than SD Noja.
  • Bezana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana SD Noja
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs SD Noja
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Bezana
0:1
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs SD Noja
1:1
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Bezana
3:0
Apr 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Bezana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavin M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez I. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 95 / 100
SD Noja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana SD Noja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Noja conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bezana scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bezana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS SD Noja
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2
Selaya
19 Apr
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Bezana
11 Apr
Bezana
2 : 3
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 7

SD Noja

(Away)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
SD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13CD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)