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Bezana vs SD Noja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Lavin M.
44' Event
Martinez I. T.
58' Event
Lavin M.

AI Match Summary

Bezana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bezana
30%
Draws
12%
SD Noja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bezana have won more games recently than SD Noja.
  • Bezana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana SD Noja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.37 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs SD Noja
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Bezana
0:1
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs SD Noja
1:1
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Bezana
3:0
Apr 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Bezana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavin M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez I. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 95 / 100
SD Noja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana SD Noja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Noja conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bezana scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bezana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS SD Noja
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
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SD Noja

(Away)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)