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Bezanija vs Backa

Serbia Serbia

Prva Liga 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 7, 2020
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bezanija host Backa in the Prva Liga 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Bezanija have averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Backa's 1.27 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Bezanija have won 0 to Backa's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.98 xG vs 1.10) point toward Bezanija. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bezanija
15%
Draws
37%
Backa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bezanija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Backa have won more games recently than Bezanija.
  • Model gives Bezanija a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva Liga 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bezanija Clean Sheet 20%
Backa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezanija Backa
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 0 10
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2020 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Bezanija vs Backa
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Backa vs Bezanija
0:0
Apr 9, 2016 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Backa vs Bezanija
2:2
Sep 19, 2015 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Bezanija vs Backa
1:1
Mar 28, 2015 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Backa vs Bezanija
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezanija 58 / 100
Backa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezanija Backa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezanija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bezanija's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Defensive concern: Backa conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Bezanija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bezanija VS Backa
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezanija

(Home)
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Bezanija
2 : 0
Bacevac
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
29 Aug
Bezanija
0 : 3
Buducnost Dobanovci
21 Aug
Usce
1 : 0
Bezanija

Backa

(Away)
19 Sept
Sloven Ruma
2 : 3
Backa
12 Sept
Backa
0 : 1
Tekstilac Odzaci
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
1 : 1
Backa
29 Aug
Backa
2 : 0
Dinamo Pancevo
22 Aug
Veternik
3 : 0
Backa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Graficar Beograd 30 16 6 8 49:27 54
2 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 14 12 4 33:18 54
3 Backa 30 16 5 9 40:26 53
4 Metalac 30 16 5 9 41:34 53
5 Kolubara 30 13 8 9 35:25 47
6 Radnicki Pirot 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
7 Kabel Novi Sad 30 14 10 6 31:20 42
8 Radnicki 1923 30 11 9 10 31:26 42
9 Novi Pazar 30 11 7 12 32:31 40
10 Zarkovo 30 10 10 10 35:36 40
11 Din. Vranje 30 10 7 13 34:38 37
12 Zemun 30 8 9 13 25:29 33
13 Trayal Krusevac 30 7 10 13 21:30 31
14 Sindjelic Beograd 30 6 7 17 27:55 25
15 Smederevo 30 9 5 16 27:47 22
16 Buducnost Dobanovci 30 5 7 18 21:41 22
17 Borac 1926 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Bezanija 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Super Liga 2020/2021 (Main)