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BFA Vilnius vs BE1 NFA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Sidlauskas A.
57' Event
Chyzhyk S.
75' Event
Sabitu T.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between BFA Vilnius and BE1 NFA finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
52%
BE1 NFA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • BE1 NFA's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what BFA Vilnius have produced (1.47).
  • Win probability leans BE1 NFA's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 14%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius BE1 NFA
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs BE1 NFA
3:1
Mar 13, 2026 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs BFA Vilnius
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs BFA Vilnius
0:0
May 24, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs BE1 NFA
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs BE1 NFA
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidlauskas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabitu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

BE1 NFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Chyzhyk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 10 / 100
BE1 NFA 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius BE1 NFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BFA Vilnius scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

BE1 NFA has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: BFA Vilnius stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS BE1 NFA
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
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BE1 NFA

(Away)
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)