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BFA Vilnius vs FC Stumbras 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Sun, Jul 28, 2019
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius host FC Stumbras 2 in the I Lyga 2019. This one's hard to separate. FC Stumbras 2 have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while BFA Vilnius have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, BFA Vilnius have won 0 to FC Stumbras 2's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2019, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 1.19, favoring BFA Vilnius. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
34%
FC Stumbras 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than FC Stumbras 2.
  • BFA Vilnius are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius FC Stumbras 2
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.48 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2019 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FC Stumbras 2
0:0
Apr 3, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs BFA Vilnius
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 42 / 100
FC Stumbras 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius FC Stumbras 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFA Vilnius scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

BFA Vilnius went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: FC Stumbras 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

FC Stumbras 2

(Away)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)