Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Riteriai 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kaulinis A.
53' Event
Gackas A.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2023 game between BFA Vilnius and Riteriai 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
28%
Riteriai 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives BFA Vilnius a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 14%
Riteriai 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Riteriai 2
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:3
Jun 4, 2023 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Riteriai 2
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Riteriai 2
3:1
Jun 10, 2022 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Oct 16, 2021 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Riteriai 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Gackas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Riteriai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaulinis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 57 / 100
Riteriai 2 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Riteriai 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: BFA Vilnius remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

BFA Vilnius's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Riteriai 2 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0
BFA Vilnius
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Riteriai 2

(Away)
08 Nov
BE1 NFA
3 : 1
Riteriai 2
03 Nov
Riteriai 2
3 : 0
Marijampole City
31 Oct
Riteriai 2
0 : 1
BE1 NFA
27 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 3
Riteriai 2
22 Oct
Riteriai 2
1 : 3
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Transinvest 30 22 4 4 83:29 70
2 BE1 NFA 30 17 5 8 51:30 56
3 Nevezis Kedainiai 30 14 9 7 47:32 51
4 Neptunas 30 14 9 7 57:33 51
5 FK Babrungas 30 15 6 9 60:49 51
6 FK Minija 30 15 6 9 45:37 51
7 Riteriai 2 30 13 7 10 49:33 46
8 Garliava 30 9 13 8 43:37 40
9 Ekranas 30 11 6 13 42:49 39
10 BFA Vilnius 30 10 8 12 40:41 38
11 Marijampole City 30 11 2 17 27:64 35
12 Siauliai 2 30 9 6 15 47:66 33
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 30 8 8 14 40:49 32
14 FK Panevezys 2 30 8 7 15 45:59 31
15 Zalgiris 2 30 7 7 16 46:66 28
16 Jonava 30 4 3 23 28:76 15
Promotion - A Lyga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2023 (Relegation)