Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 
Match Events
52'
52'
Kokins E.
85'
85'
Kokins E.
AI Match Summary
FC Daugava Daugavpils in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Daugava Daugavpils.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Daugava Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than BFC Daugavpils.
- Model gives FC Daugava Daugavpils a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and FC Daugava Daugavpils have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FC Daugava Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 26, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs BFC Daugavpils
5:0
Aug 13, 2014 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:2
Jun 18, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs BFC Daugavpils
2:1
Apr 26, 2014 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFC Daugavpils Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Kokins E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BFC Daugavpils 24 / 100
FC Daugava Daugavpils 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BFC Daugavpils FC Daugava Daugavpils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BFC Daugavpils scored in 67% of their last 33 games.
FC Daugava Daugavpils let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Away concern: FC Daugava Daugavpils has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
BFC Daugavpils VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home) 19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1 Ogre United
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 Jelgava
Page 1 of 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils
(Away) 08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
28 Sept
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 4 FC Daugava Daugavpils
12 Sept
FC Jurmala
1 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
