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Stadium Background

BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Stadions Esplanade, Daugavpils
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Traore Y. In: Ibrahim H.
Out: Traore Y.
63'
Sub
Kone K. In: Fofana W.
Out: Kone K.
64'
Gerold J.

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
BFC Daugavpils
11%
Draws
9%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than BFC Daugavpils.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on BFC Daugavpils taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:3
May 20, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Daugavpils Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Daskevics E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 76 / 100
FK Auda Riga 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BFC Daugavpils scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

FK Auda Riga let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

BFC Daugavpils went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils VS FK Auda Riga
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
19 Jul
Ogre United
0 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
04 Jul
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1
FK Liepaja
30 Jun
RFS
3 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
25 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
0 : 0
Riga FC
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FK Auda Riga

(Away)
11 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
04 Jul
RFS
1 : 1
FK Auda Riga
29 Jun
FK Auda Riga
0 : 2
Riga FC
25 Jun
Grobina
0 : 0
FK Auda Riga
21 Jun
Super Nova
0 : 2
FK Auda Riga
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riga FC23184168:2058
2RFS22182254:1656
3FK Auda Riga22124637:2640
4BFC Daugavpils2386929:2930
5FK Liepaja22841028:3428
6Jelgava2267924:3825
7Super Nova22731223:3524
8Grobina22481015:3320
9Tukums 200023381238:4717
10Ogre United23341621:5913
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)