Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja
Latvia
Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
BFC Daugavpils in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFC Daugavpils.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Liepaja have won more games recently than BFC Daugavpils.
- Model gives FK Liepaja a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFC Daugavpils Compare
FK Liepaja Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Liepaja has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
BFC Daugavpils has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home)FK Liepaja
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 70:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 85:30 | 70 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 48:29 | 60 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:48 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20:51 | 25 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29:76 | 15 |
