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BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils Logo

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 0
FT
Grobina Logo

Grobina

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Ivanovs E.
51'
Kluskins G.
52' Event
Mukwelle W.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BFC Daugavpils in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFC Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
BFC Daugavpils
15%
Draws
21%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFC Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Grobina.
  • BFC Daugavpils are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils Grobina
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina
1:0
May 2, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina
0:1
Sep 15, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina
3:2
Jun 26, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 95 / 100
Grobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Grobina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

BFC Daugavpils went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils VS Grobina
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1
Ogre United
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1
Jelgava
26 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
19 Jul
Ogre United
0 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

Grobina

(Away)
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1
Grobina
02 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 0
Grobina
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2
Ogre United
20 Jul
Super Nova
2 : 0
Grobina
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 25 21 2 2 62:17 65
2 Riga FC 25 20 4 1 76:21 64
3 FK Auda Riga 24 14 4 6 39:26 46
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 10 6 10 33:31 36
5 FK Liepaja 25 10 4 11 33:37 34
6 Super Nova 24 8 3 13 26:37 27
7 Jelgava 26 6 7 13 25:44 25
8 Grobina 26 4 9 13 18:47 21
9 Tukums 2000 26 4 8 14 40:51 20
10 Ogre United 25 3 5 17 24:65 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)