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BFC Daugavpils vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2

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1. Liga 2011
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AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2011 game between BFC Daugavpils and Liepajas Metalurgs 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liepajas Metalurgs 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
BFC Daugavpils
22%
Draws
60%
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Liepajas Metalurgs 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Liepajas Metalurgs 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Liepajas Metalurgs 2's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils Liepajas Metalurgs 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2013 Nakotnes liga
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 vs BFC Daugavpils
1:2
Jul 27, 2013 Nakotnes liga
BFC Daugavpils vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2
1:0
Oct 28, 2012 Nakotnes liga
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 vs BFC Daugavpils
4:1
Jul 28, 2012 Nakotnes liga
BFC Daugavpils vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2
1:1
Nov 6, 2011 Nakotnes liga
BFC Daugavpils vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 20 / 100
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils Liepajas Metalurgs 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFC Daugavpils scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Liepajas Metalurgs 2 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: BFC Daugavpils remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
19 Jul
Ogre United
0 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
04 Jul
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1
FK Liepaja
30 Jun
RFS
3 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
25 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
0 : 0
Riga FC
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Liepajas Metalurgs 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
1 : 2
BFC Daugavpils
03 Nov
Jekabpils SC
0 : 1
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
26 Oct
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
0 : 1
Valmiera
19 Oct
RFS
3 : 2
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
13 Oct
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
1 : 0
FK 1625 Liepaja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta24175261:1456
2Liepajas Metalurgs 224172587:3053
3Spartaks Jurmala24164474:2052
4RFS24163568:2551
5FK 1625 Liepaja24123956:3939
6Ventspils 22497845:3234
7Rezekne24931241:5130
8BFC Daugavpils24851137:4729
9FK Auda Riga24841235:4828
10Valmiera24911433:4928
11Tukums 200024571235:5422
12Jelgava 224551430:6120
13Ogre24012319:1511
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)