Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
Latvia
Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
BFC Daugavpils in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFC Daugavpils.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to BFC Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Ogre United.
- BFC Daugavpils are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors BFC Daugavpils here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFC Daugavpils Compare
Ogre United Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ogre United let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Recent resilience: BFC Daugavpils stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 56 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 40 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 30 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | 28 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | 24 |
| 8 | Grobina | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | 20 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | 17 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | 13 |