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BFC Daugavpils vs Preilu BJSS

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1. Liga 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2017 game between BFC Daugavpils and Preilu BJSS finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
BFC Daugavpils
20%
Draws
0%
Preilu BJSS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • BFC Daugavpils carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives BFC Daugavpils a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and BFC Daugavpils have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
Preilu BJSS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils Preilu BJSS
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 2.21 1.53
Goals Conceded 1 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2018 1. Liga
BFC Daugavpils vs Preilu BJSS
15:0
May 20, 2018 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs BFC Daugavpils
0:6
Sep 23, 2017 1. Liga
BFC Daugavpils vs Preilu BJSS
3:0
Jun 3, 2017 1. Liga
Preilu BJSS vs BFC Daugavpils
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 85 / 100
Preilu BJSS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils Preilu BJSS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Preilu BJSS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.25 goals per match.

Preilu BJSS's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: BFC Daugavpils scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
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Preilu BJSS

(Away)
03 Jul
Kadaga/Ostas
2 : 1
Preilu BJSS
13 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Preilu BJSS
07 Oct
Preilu BJSS
1 : 2
Grobina
29 Sept
Super Nova
3 : 2
Preilu BJSS
22 Sept
Preilu BJSS
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2017 (Relegation)