Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Spartaks Jurmala
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2022 Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Match Events
31'
31'
Iljins K.
Assist: Grazziani R.
34'
34'
Iljins K.
35'
35'
Kramens K.
AI Match Summary
The Optibet Virsliga 2022 game between BFC Daugavpils and Spartaks Jurmala finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
30%
61%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and BFC Daugavpils come out ahead of Spartaks Jurmala on wins alone.
- Model gives Spartaks Jurmala a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | Spartaks Jurmala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2022 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Spartaks Jurmala
1:1
Aug 8, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils
2:1
May 22, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils
2:0
Apr 15, 2022 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:0
Sep 11, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs BFC Daugavpils
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFC Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Iljins K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Spartaks Jurmala Compare
Top Goalscorer Krancmanis A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BFC Daugavpils 20 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BFC Daugavpils Spartaks Jurmala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartaks Jurmala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: BFC Daugavpils stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
BFC Daugavpils VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home) 19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1 Ogre United
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 Jelgava
Page 1 of 4
Spartaks Jurmala
(Away) 12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0 FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3 Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 6
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1 Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3 Spartaks Jurmala
01 Oct
FK Liepaja
5 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valmiera | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 101:25 | 85 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 36 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 68:23 | 81 |
| 3 | RFS | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 83:32 | 76 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 72:42 | 70 |
| 5 | FK Auda Riga | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 42:36 | 51 |
| 6 | Tukums 2000 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 38:69 | 38 |
| 7 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 30:67 | 34 |
| 8 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 37:75 | 31 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 41:86 | 22 |
| 10 | Super Nova | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24:81 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)
