Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
Latvia
Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Virsliga game between BFC Daugavpils and Super Nova finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Super Nova come out ahead of BFC Daugavpils on wins alone.
- Model gives BFC Daugavpils a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BFC Daugavpils scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Super Nova has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
BFC Daugavpils went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home)Super Nova
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 59 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 58 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 40 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 30 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | 28 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | 27 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | 25 |
| 8 | Grobina | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | 20 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | 17 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | 13 |