Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
Latvia
Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Match Events
30'
30'
Sub
Traore A. In: Garzha A.
Out: Traore A.
64'
64'
Sub
Skadmanis K. In: Grikovs A.
Out: Skadmanis K.
71'
71'
Sub
Pathe N. In: Sitjakovs R.
Out: Pathe N.
AI Match Summary
The Virsliga game between BFC Daugavpils and Super Nova finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Super Nova
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- BFC Daugavpils's 1.34 goals per match outpaces what Super Nova have produced (1.04).
- Model gives Super Nova a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
0:0
Jun 16, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
0:0
Apr 27, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BFC Daugavpils 28 / 100
Super Nova 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BFC Daugavpils Super Nova
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Super Nova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BFC Daugavpils's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Super Nova has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
BFC Daugavpils went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
BFC Daugavpils VS Super Nova
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home) 13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1 Ogre United
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 Jelgava
Page 1 of 4
Super Nova
(Away) 10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0 Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 Super Nova
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 Super Nova
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2 Super Nova
01 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2 Super Nova
16 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
0 : 0 Super Nova
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 70:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 85:30 | 70 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 57 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:48 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20:51 | 25 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 29:75 | 15 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)
