Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Ventspils
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2021 Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
AI Match Summary
BFC Daugavpils host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This one's hard to separate. BFC Daugavpils have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Ventspils's 1.08 scored and 1.58 conceded. Past meetings favor BFC Daugavpils slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 31, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 0.94) point toward BFC Daugavpils. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- BFC Daugavpils have won more games recently than Ventspils.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Ventspils taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 12 |
| Wins | 16 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ventspils's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.
Attacking prowess: BFC Daugavpils scored in 74% of their last 39 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
BFC Daugavpils went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home)Ventspils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
