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BFC Dynamo vs Chemie Leipzig

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Fritzsche L.
55' Event
Mattmuller L.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between BFC Dynamo and Chemie Leipzig finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
BFC Dynamo
17%
Draws
13%
Chemie Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: BFC Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Chemie Leipzig carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans BFC Dynamo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 14%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Dynamo Chemie Leipzig
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Chemie Leipzig
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo
2:0
Feb 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Chemie Leipzig
2:0
Aug 21, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo
1:0
May 12, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fritzsche L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattmuller L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Dynamo 66 / 100
Chemie Leipzig 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Dynamo Chemie Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DYN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFC Dynamo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chemie Leipzig has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: BFC Dynamo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFC Dynamo VS Chemie Leipzig
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914