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BFC Dynamo vs RB Leipzig II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Palacios-Martinez F.
34' Event
Strauss J.
49' Event
Martinovic D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

RB Leipzig II in this Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored RB Leipzig II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
BFC Dynamo
20%
Draws
28%
RB Leipzig II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • RB Leipzig II average 2.23 goals a game right now, well clear of BFC Dynamo's 1.68.
  • Win probability leans BFC Dynamo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Dynamo RB Leipzig II
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.68 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs RB Leipzig II
1:6
Nov 12, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs BFC Dynamo
1:1
May 6, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs RB Leipzig II
2:0
Nov 22, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs BFC Dynamo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rockenbach T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios-Martinez F.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Strauss J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Dynamo 85 / 100
RB Leipzig II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Dynamo RB Leipzig II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Dynamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFC Dynamo's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: RB Leipzig II conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: BFC Dynamo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BFC Dynamo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Dynamo

(Home)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
BFC Dynamo
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
BFC Dynamo
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
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RB Leipzig II

(Away)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jena 34 23 6 5 68:25 75
2 Energie Cottbus 34 19 9 6 58:26 66
3 RB Leipzig II 34 17 9 8 67:42 60
4 Viktoria Berlin 34 15 11 8 63:47 56
5 Babelsberg 34 16 7 11 55:42 55
6 Berliner AK 07 34 16 7 11 54:42 55
7 Wacker Nordhausen 34 14 9 11 47:47 51
8 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 13 9 12 41:33 48
9 Hertha Berlin II 34 12 12 10 46:48 48
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 13 8 13 53:49 47
11 Schonberg 34 13 8 13 53:60 47
12 Auerbach 34 11 12 11 47:50 45
13 Furstenwalde 34 12 9 13 49:59 45
14 Meuselwitz 34 11 11 12 37:36 44
15 BFC Dynamo 34 12 8 14 51:54 44
16 Luckenwalde 34 5 9 20 35:75 24
17 Bautzen 34 3 9 22 29:68 18
18 TSG Neustrelitz 34 2 5 27 30:80 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Play Offs)