Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bhutan vs Hong Kong

World World

World Championship 2026 Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gyeltshen C.
Assist: Dorji S.
32'
Tan Chun-Lok
47' Event
Chogyal L.
Assist: Wangdi N.

AI Match Summary

Bhutan in this World Championship 2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bhutan
15%
Draws
57%
Hong Kong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hong Kong have won more games recently than Bhutan.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hong Kong taking it.
  • Hong Kong arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hong Kong, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hong Kong here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 10%
Hong Kong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bhutan Hong Kong
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.55 2.12
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Bhutan vs Hong Kong
2:0
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Hong Kong vs Bhutan
4:0
Oct 13, 2015 World Championship
Bhutan vs Hong Kong
0:1
Jun 11, 2015 World Championship
Hong Kong vs Bhutan
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bhutan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyeltshen C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chogyal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Hong Kong Compare

Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bhutan 10 / 100
Hong Kong 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bhutan Hong Kong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Hong Kong has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bhutan scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hong Kong conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bhutan VS Hong Kong
0.71 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bhutan

(Home)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1
Bhutan
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Hong Kong

(Away)
27 Sept
Hong Kong
4 : 0
Laos
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
31 Mar
India
2 : 1
Hong Kong
03 Jan
Guangdong XI
3 : 2
Hong Kong
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Afghanistan 2
Mongolia 0
Maldives 2
Bangladesh 3
Singapore 3
Guam 1
Yemen 4
Sri Lanka 1
Myanmar 5
Macau 1
Cambodia 0
Pakistan 1
Chinese Taipei 7
Timor-Leste 0
Indonesia 12
Brunei 0
Hong Kong 4
Bhutan 2
Nepal 2
Laos 1