Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bhutan W vs Lebanon W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Tshering P. C.
81' Event
Khoury P.
86' Event
Tshering P. C.

AI Match Summary

Bhutan W in this Asian Cup Women tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bhutan W
6%
Draws
4%
Lebanon W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bhutan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lebanon W have won more games recently than Bhutan W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bhutan W taking it.
  • Lebanon W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bhutan W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lebanon W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bhutan W Clean Sheet 10%
Lebanon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bhutan W Lebanon W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Bhutan W vs Lebanon W
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Lebanon W vs Bhutan W
1:0
Sep 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Lebanon W vs Bhutan W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bhutan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshering P. C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lebanon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoury P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bhutan W 83 / 100
Lebanon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bhutan W Lebanon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bhutan W's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lebanon W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lebanon W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bhutan W VS Lebanon W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bhutan W

(Home)
03 Jun
India W
1 : 0
Bhutan W
28 May
Sri Lanka W
0 : 4
Bhutan W
25 May
Bhutan W
0 : 1
Nepal W
07 Apr
Bhutan W
7 : 0
Macau W
16 Jul
Jordan W
3 : 0
Bhutan W
Page 1 of 6

Lebanon W

(Away)
28 Nov
Jordan W
5 : 0
Lebanon W
26 Nov
Lebanon W
0 : 3
Palestine W
19 Jul
Singapore W
0 : 1
Lebanon W
16 Jul
Lebanon W
3 : 1
Iran W
10 Jul
Bhutan W
2 : 1
Lebanon W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran W430114:59
2Jordan W430113:29
3Bhutan W42026:136
4Lebanon W42025:76
5Singapore W40042:130
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1India W440024:112
2Thailand W430123:29
3Timor-Leste W41123:94
4Iraq W41125:144
5Mongolia W40043:320
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bangladesh W330016:19
2Myanmar W320115:26
3Bahrain W30122:151
4Turkmenistan W30122:171
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chinese Taipei W330013:19
2Pakistan W32014:96
3Indonesia W31022:43
4Kyrgyzstan W30031:60
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam W330017:09
2United Arab Emirates W31115:64
3Guam W31113:44
4Maldives W30030:150
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan W321020:37
2Nepal W321020:37
3Laos W31022:163
4Sri Lanka W30030:200
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Philippines W330010:09
2Hong Kong W31112:24
3Cambodia W31113:84
4Saudi Arabia W30031:60
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea W330026:09
2Malaysia W32012:66
3Palestine W31023:113
4Tajikistan W30030:140
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)