Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Biala Podlaska vs Hetman Zamosc

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Serdyuk R.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Kobiera S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Biala Podlaska
20%
Draws
40%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Biala Podlaska have won more games recently than Hetman Zamosc.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Biala Podlaska taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 16%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biala Podlaska Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.11 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Hetman Zamosc
1:1
Apr 28, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Biala Podlaska
1:4
Sep 19, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Hetman Zamosc
5:2
Mar 28, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Hetman Zamosc
0:0
Aug 28, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Biala Podlaska
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobiera S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biala Podlaska 41 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biala Podlaska Hetman Zamosc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biala Podlaska found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Hetman Zamosc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Away concern: Hetman Zamosc has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Biala Podlaska VS Hetman Zamosc
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Biala Podlaska

(Home)
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Biala Podlaska
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 7

Hetman Zamosc

(Away)
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
29 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
22 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
0 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 9 7 2 0 14:2 23
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 9 5 4 0 14:6 19
3 Czarni Polaniec 9 6 0 3 16:14 18
4 Wislanie Skawina 9 5 2 2 14:8 17
5 Wisloka Debica 9 5 1 3 12:11 16
6 Jaroslaw 9 5 1 3 24:15 16
7 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 9 4 2 3 12:9 14
8 Naprzod Jedrzejow 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
9 Wisla II 9 3 3 3 12:12 12
10 Biala Podlaska 9 3 2 4 7:9 11
11 Busko-Zdroj 9 3 2 4 13:17 11
12 Hetman Zamosc 9 2 4 3 16:17 10
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 9 1 6 2 9:10 9
14 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
15 Star Starachowice 9 1 4 4 7:14 7
16 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
17 Moravia Morawica 9 2 0 7 9:18 6
18 Korona Kielce II 9 1 2 6 20:26 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)