Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Biala Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Morawiec K.
52' Event
Kosieradzki J.
58'
Bobowski A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Biala Podlaska
6%
Draws
4%
Korona Kielce II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Biala Podlaska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korona Kielce II lately — more wins on the board than Biala Podlaska.
  • Biala Podlaska are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 18%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biala Podlaska Korona Kielce II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Biala Podlaska
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Biala Podlaska
0:3
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II
3:0
Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Biala Podlaska
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosieradzki J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Morawiec K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biala Podlaska 85 / 100
Korona Kielce II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biala Podlaska Korona Kielce II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biala Podlaska scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Korona Kielce II let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Biala Podlaska went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Biala Podlaska VS Korona Kielce II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013