Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Biala Podlaska vs Sandomierz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kurowski M.
27' Event
Salak K.
45' Event
Lepiarz D.

AI Match Summary

Biala Podlaska in this III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 8-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Biala Podlaska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Biala Podlaska
20%
Draws
40%
Sandomierz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Biala Podlaska have won more games recently than Sandomierz.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Biala Podlaska taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 20%
Sandomierz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biala Podlaska Sandomierz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.94 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Sandomierz
8:2
Oct 2, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Biala Podlaska
1:2
Apr 20, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Sandomierz
1:2
Aug 29, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Biala Podlaska
2:0
May 22, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Sandomierz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepiarz D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kosieradzki J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Sandomierz Compare

Top Goalscorer Wyjadlowski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ucinski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biala Podlaska 85 / 100
Sandomierz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biala Podlaska Sandomierz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biala Podlaska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Biala Podlaska scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Sandomierz conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Sandomierz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Biala Podlaska VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Biala Podlaska

(Home)
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Biala Podlaska
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
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Sandomierz

(Away)
10 Feb
Lysica Bodzentyn
8 : 2
Sandomierz
17 Jun
Sandomierz
0 : 4
Avia Swidnik
10 Jun
Stal Stalowa Wola
7 : 0
Sandomierz
04 Jun
Sandomierz
5 : 3
Korona Kielce II
27 May
Orleta Radzyn
0 : 0
Sandomierz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stal Stalowa Wola 34 23 5 6 72:27 74
2 Avia Swidnik 34 19 11 4 58:26 68
3 KS Wieczysta Krakow 34 20 7 7 75:35 67
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 17 7 10 61:36 58
5 Biala Podlaska 34 14 13 7 63:42 55
6 Cracovia II 34 16 6 12 69:48 54
7 Wisloka Debica 34 15 7 12 54:46 52
8 Sokol Sieniawa 34 14 6 14 57:65 48
9 Czarni Polaniec 34 15 2 17 47:58 47
10 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 13 6 15 59:47 45
11 Orleta Radzyn 34 13 4 17 44:63 43
12 Chelmianka Chelm 34 10 10 14 45:47 40
13 Unia Tarnow 34 10 10 14 43:66 40
14 Wiazownica 34 11 7 16 49:59 40
15 Korona Kielce II 34 10 9 15 63:58 39
16 Sandomierz 34 7 6 21 40:91 27
17 Lublinianka 34 7 2 25 43:92 23
18 LKS Lagow 34 11 4 19 27:63 37
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)