Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Biala Podlaska vs Wisla II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Urbanski P.
30' Event
Tokarczyk K.
32' Event
Urbanski P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Biala Podlaska and Wisla II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wisla II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Biala Podlaska
35%
Draws
28%
Wisla II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Biala Podlaska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Biala Podlaska haven't matched Wisla II's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Biala Podlaska taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 20%
Wisla II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biala Podlaska Wisla II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Wisla II
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Biala Podlaska
2:0
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Biala Podlaska
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Wisla II
2:0
Aug 6, 2016 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Wisla II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbanski P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Wisla II Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokarczyk K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Daczewski E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biala Podlaska 42 / 100
Wisla II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biala Podlaska Wisla II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Biala Podlaska scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Wisla II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Biala Podlaska remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Biala Podlaska VS Wisla II
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Biala Podlaska

(Home)
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Biala Podlaska
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
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Wisla II

(Away)
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
30 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 0
Wisla II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avia Swidnik 34 23 8 3 84:35 77
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 22 8 4 66:30 74
3 Chelmianka Chelm 34 21 9 4 65:31 72
4 Korona Kielce II 34 18 4 12 66:59 58
5 Star Starachowice 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
6 Czarni Polaniec 34 16 5 13 59:49 53
7 Biala Podlaska 34 14 10 10 60:48 52
8 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 34 14 9 11 61:45 51
9 Wislanie Skawina 34 15 6 13 52:51 51
10 Wisla II 34 15 4 15 67:58 49
11 Wisloka Debica 34 12 12 10 37:35 48
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 11 10 13 59:52 43
13 Naprzod Jedrzejow 34 11 5 18 45:55 38
14 Kolbuszowa Dolna 34 11 4 19 36:54 37
15 Stal Krasnik 34 9 7 18 42:52 34
16 Cracovia II 34 9 6 19 44:71 33
17 Swidniczanka Swidnik 34 5 4 25 35:80 19
18 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 34 4 1 29 29:110 13
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)