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Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya Kwanza

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 game between Biashara Mara United and Mbeya Kwanza finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Biashara Mara United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Biashara Mara United
6%
Draws
4%
Mbeya Kwanza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Biashara Mara United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Biashara Mara United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Biashara Mara United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Biashara Mara United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 20%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biashara Mara United Mbeya Kwanza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Biashara Mara United
0:2
May 19, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya Kwanza
2:0
Apr 6, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya Kwanza
1:0
Oct 29, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Biashara Mara United
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biashara Mara United 85 / 100
Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biashara Mara United Mbeya Kwanza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya Kwanza has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Mbeya Kwanza has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Biashara Mara United scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Biashara Mara United VS Mbeya Kwanza
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
JKT Tanzania4
TRA United0
TBD-
TBD-
TRA United-
TBD-
Mbeya Kwanza0
Biashara Mara United4
Final
JKT Tanzania-
TBD-
TRA United2
Biashara Mara United1