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Bidco United vs Muranga Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Waithira J.
43' Event
Waithira J.

AI Match Summary

Muranga in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bidco United
15%
Draws
59%
Muranga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muranga lately — more wins on the board than Bidco United.
  • Win probability leans Muranga's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 18%
Muranga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidco United Muranga
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 3 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.53 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Muranga
0:2
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Muranga vs Bidco United
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Bidco United
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Muranga
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Muranga vs Bidco United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidco United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Muranga Compare

Top Goalscorer Waithira J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidco United 28 / 100
Muranga 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidco United Muranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muranga let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bidco United scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Bidco United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bidco United VS Muranga
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidco United

(Home)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0
Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0
Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6

Muranga

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
06 May
Police FC
2 : 1
Muranga
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)