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Bidezarra vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Oscar L.
64' Event
Ortigosa X.
75' Event
Recalde A.

AI Match Summary

Bidezarra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bidezarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bidezarra
35%
Draws
34%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than Bidezarra.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidezarra Pena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Pena
4:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Bidezarra
5:3
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Bidezarra
1:1
Oct 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Pena
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Pena
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortigosa X.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Recalde A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Oscar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidezarra 42 / 100
Pena 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidezarra Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Pena conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bidezarra stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bidezarra scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bidezarra VS Pena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidezarra

(Home)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Izarra
0 : 0
Bidezarra
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Pamplona
3 : 1
Bidezarra
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
09 May
CA Artajones
1 : 2
Pena
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
24 Apr
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)