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Biel vs Basel II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Biel host Basel II in the Promotion League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Biel have averaged 2.28 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Basel II's 1.77 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, Biel have won 1 to Basel II's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.19 - 1.88) back Biel to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Biel
15%
Draws
36%
Basel II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Biel come out ahead of Basel II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Biel a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Biel Clean Sheet 10%
Basel II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biel Basel II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 17
Draws 9 1
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.28 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Basel II
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Biel
1:3
May 17, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Biel
3:0
Nov 10, 2024 Promotion League
Biel vs Basel II
2:2
May 18, 2024 Promotion League
Basel II vs Biel
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biel 83 / 100
Basel II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biel Basel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biel found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Basel II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Biel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Biel VS Basel II
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Biel

(Home)
03 Oct
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 2
Biel
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
19 Sept
Breitenrain
0 : 4
Biel
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
Page 1 of 7

Basel II

(Away)
03 Oct
Basel II
3 : 2
Luzern II
26 Sept
Young Boys II
0 : 2
Basel II
19 Sept
Basel II
1 : 2
Bulle
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Bulle 10 6 2 2 22:14 20
4 Paradiso 10 6 1 3 20:9 19
5 Cham 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Grand-Saconnex 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
7 Young Fellows Juventus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
8 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
9 Zurich II 10 4 2 4 18:18 14
10 Breitenrain 10 4 2 4 13:15 14
11 Amical Saint-Prex 10 4 1 5 14:22 13
12 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
13 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
14 Young Boys II 10 3 2 5 20:27 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 10 2 2 6 10:12 8
17 Luzern II 10 2 1 7 15:19 7
18 Bellinzona 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)