Sport Picks

Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026

Biel

5 - 2

Bavois

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Jakob N.

29'

Ouhafsa A.

33'

Figueiredo G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Biel in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Biel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Biel

39%

Draws

31%

Bavois

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Biel lately — more wins on the board than Bavois.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Biel Clean Sheet 14%

Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Biel	Bavois
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	16	12
Draws	8	4
Losses	5	12
Goals Scored	1.63	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Promotion League

Biel vs Bavois

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

5:2

Oct 11, 2025 Promotion League

Bavois vs Biel

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

May 11, 2025 Promotion League

Biel vs Bavois

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Nov 2, 2024 Promotion League

Bavois vs Biel

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Mar 27, 2024 Promotion League

Biel vs Bavois

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzonlagic O.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jakob N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouhafsa A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Figueiredo G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biel 30 / 100

Bavois 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Biel Bavois

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biel found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bavois conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Biel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Biel VS Bavois

1.63 Goals Scored 2.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kriens	34	25	4	5	100:43	79
2	Bruhl SG	34	22	6	6	87:46	72
3	Biel	34	19	7	8	78:46	64
4	Basel II	34	17	8	9	65:48	59
5	Bavois	34	17	4	13	64:53	55
6	Young Boys II	34	15	9	10	66:52	54
7	Schaffhausen	34	16	5	13	51:46	53
8	Bulle	34	15	6	13	70:64	51
9	Cham	34	14	8	12	62:61	50
10	Grand-Saconnex	34	11	10	13	71:69	43
11	Zurich II	34	11	8	15	59:62	41
12	Breitenrain	34	11	8	15	47:51	41
13	Luzern II	34	10	10	14	80:83	40
14	FC Kreuzlingen	34	8	13	13	43:66	37
15	Lugano II	34	8	12	14	45:75	36
16	Paradiso	34	8	11	15	51:65	35
17	Lausanne II	34	9	4	21	60:84	31
18	Vevey	34	1	5	28	28:113	2