Sport Picks

Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026

Biel

1 - 1

Lugano II

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Zurmuhle B.

59'

Gueddar M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Biel

Draws

Lugano II

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Lugano II haven't matched Biel's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Biel's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Biel Clean Sheet 68%

Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Biel	Lugano II
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	6
Draws	9	9
Losses	4	15
Goals Scored	2.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Promotion League

Biel vs Lugano II

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Oct 26, 2025 Promotion League

Lugano II vs Biel

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League

Lugano II vs Biel

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 0 - 0

4:3

Sep 1, 2024 Promotion League

Biel vs Lugano II

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

May 4, 2024 Promotion League

Biel vs Lugano II

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueddar M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zurmuhle B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biel 95 / 100

Lugano II 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Biel Lugano II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biel scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lugano II has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Biel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Biel VS Lugano II

2.25 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kriens	34	25	4	5	100:43	79
2	Bruhl SG	34	22	6	6	87:46	72
3	Biel	34	19	7	8	78:46	64
4	Basel II	34	17	8	9	65:48	59
5	Bavois	34	17	4	13	64:53	55
6	Young Boys II	34	15	9	10	66:52	54
7	Schaffhausen	34	16	5	13	51:46	53
8	Bulle	34	15	6	13	70:64	51
9	Cham	34	14	8	12	62:61	50
10	Grand-Saconnex	34	11	10	13	71:69	43
11	Zurich II	34	11	8	15	59:62	41
12	Breitenrain	34	11	8	15	47:51	41
13	Luzern II	34	10	10	14	80:83	40
14	FC Kreuzlingen	34	8	13	13	43:66	37
15	Lugano II	34	8	12	14	45:75	36
16	Paradiso	34	8	11	15	51:65	35
17	Lausanne II	34	9	4	21	60:84	31
18	Vevey	34	1	5	28	28:113	2