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Biel vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Zurmuhle B.
59' Event
Gueddar M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Biel
15%
Draws
40%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugano II haven't matched Biel's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Biel's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Biel Clean Sheet 68%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biel Lugano II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Lugano II
5:2
May 2, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Lugano II
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Biel
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Biel
4:3
Sep 1, 2024 Promotion League
Biel vs Lugano II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueddar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zurmuhle B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biel 50 / 100
Lugano II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biel Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biel scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Lugano II has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Biel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Biel VS Lugano II
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Biel

(Home)
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
30 Aug
Bulle
1 : 1
Biel
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
19 Aug
Bruhl SG
0 : 1
Biel
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Lugano II

(Away)
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
15 Aug
Lugano II
4 : 3
Luzern II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)