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Biel vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Biel host Lugano II in the Promotion League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Lugano II have shipped 2.23 goals a game lately, while Biel have conceded 1.06 and scored 2.24. Head-to-head, Biel have won 1 to Lugano II's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.19 - 1.19) back Biel to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Biel
20%
Draws
23%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Biel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Biel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Biel Clean Sheet 20%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biel Lugano II
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.24 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Promotion League
Biel vs Lugano II
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Biel
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Biel
4:3
Sep 1, 2024 Promotion League
Biel vs Lugano II
2:0
May 4, 2024 Promotion League
Biel vs Lugano II
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biel 85 / 100
Lugano II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biel Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biel found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Lugano II has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Biel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Biel VS Lugano II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Biel

(Home)
16 Aug
Biel
3 : 4
Aarau
09 Aug
Biel
4 : 2
Young Fellows Juventus
02 Aug
Zurich II
0 : 1
Biel
23 Jul
Biel
2 : 0
Prishtina Bern
20 Jul
Biel
2 : 2
Breitenrain
Page 1 of 7

Lugano II

(Away)
15 Aug
Lugano II
4 : 3
Luzern II
09 Aug
Young Boys II
3 : 1
Lugano II
02 Aug
Lugano II
1 : 4
Bulle
18 Jul
Lugano II
0 : 1
Young Fellows Juventus
30 May
FC Kreuzlingen
1 : 1
Lugano II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grand-Saconnex 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Bruhl SG 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Schaffhausen 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Biel 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 Bulle 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
6 Bavois 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
7 Breitenrain 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Young Boys II 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
9 FC Kreuzlingen 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
10 Cham 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Amical Saint-Prex 2 1 0 1 1:6 3
12 Luzern II 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
13 Paradiso 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
14 Lugano II 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
15 Zurich II 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Basel II 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
17 Bellinzona 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
18 Young Fellows Juventus 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)