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Bijelo Brdo vs HNK Gorica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup Igralište BSK, Bijelo Brdo
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. HNK Gorica have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while Bijelo Brdo have conceded 0.83 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Bijelo Brdo slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2016, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward Bijelo Brdo. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bijelo Brdo
35%
Draws
35%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bijelo Brdo have won more games recently than HNK Gorica.
  • Win probability leans Bijelo Brdo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Bijelo Brdo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bijelo Brdo Clean Sheet 18%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bijelo Brdo HNK Gorica
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2016 Croatian Cup
HNK Gorica vs Bijelo Brdo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bijelo Brdo 36 / 100
HNK Gorica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bijelo Brdo HNK Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bijelo Brdo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

HNK Gorica has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Bijelo Brdo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bijelo Brdo VS HNK Gorica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bijelo Brdo

(Home)
17 Oct
Bijelo Brdo
0 : 0
Orijent
09 Oct
Karlovac
3 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
26 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
Page 1 of 6

HNK Gorica

(Away)
17 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
09 Oct
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Rudes
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac 1
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -