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Bijelo Brdo vs Jadran Luka Ploce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Igralište BSK, Bijelo Brdo
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Spahic E. In: Matanovic L.
Out: Spahic E.
44' Event
Ihejiofor C.
57'
Peric A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL game between Bijelo Brdo and Jadran Luka Ploce finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bijelo Brdo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bijelo Brdo
20%
Draws
47%
Jadran Luka Ploce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Jadran Luka Ploce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bijelo Brdo Clean Sheet 19%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bijelo Brdo Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bijelo Brdo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihejiofor C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bijelo Brdo 32 / 100
Jadran Luka Ploce 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bijelo Brdo Jadran Luka Ploce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bijelo Brdo scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Jadran Luka Ploce let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Bijelo Brdo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bijelo Brdo VS Jadran Luka Ploce
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bijelo Brdo

(Home)
09 Oct
Karlovac
3 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
26 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
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Jadran Luka Ploce

(Away)
09 Oct
Sesvete
1 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Oct
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
2 Mladost Zdralovi 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 Cibalia 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
5 Bijelo Brdo 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
6 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
7 Karlovac 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
8 Orijent 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
9 Vukovar 1991 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
10 Sesvete 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
11 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
12 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
13 Opatija 8 2 2 4 9:11 8
14 Dubrava Zagreb 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
15 Kustosija 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
16 Hrvace 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)