Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Igralište BSK, Bijelo Brdo
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Korov P.
18'
Akanni S.
19'
Grdenic T.

AI Match Summary

Bijelo Brdo in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bijelo Brdo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bijelo Brdo
35%
Draws
28%
Jarun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bijelo Brdo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bijelo Brdo have won more games recently than Jarun.
  • Win probability leans Bijelo Brdo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bijelo Brdo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bijelo Brdo Clean Sheet 68%
Jarun Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bijelo Brdo Jarun
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo
0:5
Feb 15, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bijelo Brdo Compare

Top Goalscorer Korov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jarun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bijelo Brdo 51 / 100
Jarun 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bijelo Brdo Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Bijelo Brdo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bijelo Brdo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Bijelo Brdo VS Jarun
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bijelo Brdo

(Home)
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
11 Sept
Opatija
2 : 3
Bijelo Brdo
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 0
Bijelo Brdo
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Jarun

(Away)
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)