Sport Picks

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Bilje vs Jesenice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kalani Almeida
83' Event
Colja T.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Bilje and Jesenice finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bilje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bilje
15%
Draws
57%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bilje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Jesenice taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bilje here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bilje Clean Sheet 16%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bilje Jesenice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs Jesenice
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs Jesenice
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Bilje
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bilje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalani Almeida
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colja T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bilje 11 / 100
Jesenice 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bilje Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesenice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Bilje's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bilje stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bilje VS Jesenice
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bilje

(Home)
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Bilje
1 : 4
Bistrica
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Jesenice

(Away)
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
29 Aug
Jesenice
3 : 1
Beltinci
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)