Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Binacional vs Ayacucho

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
45' Event
Fanarraga A.
46'
Sub
Gonzales J. In: Infante M.
Out: Gonzales J.

AI Match Summary

Ayacucho in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayacucho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Binacional
20%
Draws
44%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayacucho lately — more wins on the board than Binacional.
  • Win probability leans Ayacucho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binacional Ayacucho
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.82 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Binacional
7:1
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Binacional vs Ayacucho
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Binacional
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga 1
Binacional vs Ayacucho
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Binacional
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binacional Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Fanarraga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mezarina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binacional 10 / 100
Ayacucho 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binacional Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayacucho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayacucho let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Binacional has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ayacucho lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binacional VS Ayacucho
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Binacional

(Home)
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0
Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

Ayacucho

(Away)
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1
Ayacucho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)