Sport Picks
Binacional vs Comerciantes FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 2 Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina, Juliaca 
Match Events
54'
54'
Diaz J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 2 game between Binacional and Comerciantes FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Binacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Comerciantes FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Comerciantes FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binacional | Comerciantes FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga 2
Binacional vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
May 16, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Binacional
3:0
Jul 9, 2024 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Binacional
6:1
May 20, 2024 Liga 2
Binacional vs Comerciantes FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Binacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Comerciantes FC Compare
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Binacional 10 / 100
Comerciantes FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Binacional Comerciantes FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Comerciantes FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Comerciantes FC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Binacional stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Comerciantes FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Binacional VS Comerciantes FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Binacional
(Home) 25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0 Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1 Binacional
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
07 Aug
Binacional
1 : 8 Union Minas
26 Jul
Binacional
0 : 3 Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 3
Comerciantes FC
(Away) 07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0 Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Union Minas
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0 Comerciantes FC
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
15 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
2 : 2 Comerciantes FC
01 Aug
Santos FC
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1 Comerciantes FC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
