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Binacional vs Tacna Heroica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina, Juliaca
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mosquera A.
Own Goal
39'
Sub
Huaraccallo A. In: Zuniga A.
Out: Huaraccallo A.
66'
Sub
Perez A. In: Palomino K.
Out: Perez A.

AI Match Summary

Tacna Heroica in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tacna Heroica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Binacional
35%
Draws
35%
Tacna Heroica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tacna Heroica lately — more wins on the board than Binacional.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Tacna Heroica taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binacional Tacna Heroica
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.81 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga 2
Binacional vs Tacna Heroica
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Binacional
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Tacna Heroica Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binacional 10 / 100
Tacna Heroica 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binacional Tacna Heroica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacna Heroica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacna Heroica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Binacional went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Binacional scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Binacional VS Tacna Heroica
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Binacional

(Home)
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0
Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

Tacna Heroica

(Away)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)