Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Binefar vs CF Illueca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
De Mesa Garrido A.
27' Event
Chicho
62'
Hristov H.

AI Match Summary

Binefar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binefar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Binefar
15%
Draws
31%
CF Illueca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binefar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Binefar have won more games recently than CF Illueca.
  • Model gives Binefar a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Binefar Clean Sheet 20%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binefar CF Illueca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs CF Illueca
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Binefar
2:1
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs CF Illueca
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Binefar
3:3
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Binefar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer De Mesa Garrido A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chicho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CF Illueca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binefar 85 / 100
CF Illueca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binefar CF Illueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binefar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binefar scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

CF Illueca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Binefar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binefar VS CF Illueca
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Binefar

(Home)
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Tamarite
1 : 2
Binefar
Page 1 of 6

CF Illueca

(Away)
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3
Atletico Monzon
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1
CD Carinena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)