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Binefar vs Fraga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Querol G.
35' Event
Sola G.
54' Event
Sola G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Binefar and Fraga finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binefar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Binefar
15%
Draws
51%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Binefar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Binefar Clean Sheet 17%
Fraga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binefar Fraga
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.94 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Fraga
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Binefar
2:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Binefar
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Fraga
2:2
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Binefar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sola G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Querol G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Fraga Compare

Top Goalscorer Perera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binefar 31 / 100
Fraga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binefar Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Binefar scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Fraga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Binefar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binefar VS Fraga
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Binefar

(Home)
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
Page 1 of 7

Fraga

(Away)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
27 Apr
Binefar
3 : 1
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)