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Binefar vs Oliver - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 game between Binefar and Oliver finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oliver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Binefar
35%
Draws
39%
Oliver
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oliver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binefar come out ahead of Oliver on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Oliver have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Binefar Clean Sheet 20%
Oliver Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binefar Oliver
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Oliver
0:3
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Oliver vs Binefar
3:0
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Oliver
2:0
Nov 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Oliver vs Binefar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binefar 36 / 100
Oliver 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binefar Oliver

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliver Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliver's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Binefar scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Binefar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binefar VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binefar

(Home)
03 Oct
Robres
1 : 2
Binefar
27 Sept
Binefar
2 : 2
CD Caspe
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
Page 1 of 7

Oliver

(Away)
11 May
Oliver
0 : 0
SD Ejea
04 May
Brea
1 : 1
Oliver
01 May
Oliver
5 : 3
CD Cuarte
27 Apr
Tamarite
1 : 1
Oliver
23 Apr
Oliver
1 : 3
UD Barbastro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarinena 38 24 12 2 71:21 84
2 Andorra CF 38 24 12 2 73:27 84
3 Ebro 38 21 10 7 66:40 73
4 Utebo FC 38 21 9 8 56:26 72
5 Atletico Monzon 38 22 4 12 71:51 70
6 SD Ejea 38 17 11 10 59:40 62
7 Borja 38 15 12 11 46:39 57
8 Tarazona 38 15 8 15 45:45 53
9 CD Cuarte 38 14 11 13 51:47 53
10 Villanueva CF 38 15 7 16 47:48 52
11 Oliver 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
12 Sabinanigo 38 14 5 19 53:53 47
13 Almudevar 38 12 9 17 46:48 45
14 Atletico Escalerillas 38 12 9 17 36:53 45
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 14 2 22 37:52 44
16 UD Barbastro 38 11 10 17 45:59 43
17 La Almunia 38 11 7 20 39:58 40
18 Valdefierro 38 10 9 19 38:50 39
19 Robres 38 7 9 22 41:63 30
20 Binefar 38 5 0 33 20:116 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)