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Binefar vs Utrillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Querol G.
37' Event
Pico A.
52' Event
Samitier Labrador R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Binefar and Utrillas finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binefar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Binefar
20%
Draws
24%
Utrillas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Binefar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Utrillas haven't matched Binefar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Binefar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Binefar Clean Sheet 16%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binefar Utrillas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Utrillas
5:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Binefar
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Utrillas
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Binefar
0:2
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Binefar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Samitier Labrador R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Querol G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Utrillas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binefar 84 / 100
Utrillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binefar Utrillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binefar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binefar found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Utrillas conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Binefar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Binefar VS Utrillas
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Binefar

(Home)
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Tamarite
1 : 2
Binefar
Page 1 of 6

Utrillas

(Away)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)