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Binga vs Stade Malien

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Binga Logo

Binga

4 - 0
FT
Stade Malien Logo

Stade Malien

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Binga and Stade Malien finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Binga
30%
Draws
51%
Stade Malien
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stade Malien come out ahead of Binga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Stade Malien a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Binga Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binga Stade Malien
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 17
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Binga
2:1
Mar 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs Stade Malien
4:0
Jun 4, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Binga
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs Stade Malien
0:4
Apr 17, 2024 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Binga
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binga 28 / 100
Stade Malien 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binga Stade Malien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Binga scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Stade Malien conceded in 35% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Binga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Binga VS Stade Malien
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Binga

(Home)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
24 May
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Binga
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Stade Malien

(Away)
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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