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Bingol vs F. Karagumruk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014
Sat, Mar 29, 2014
0 - 3
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bingol host F. Karagumruk in the TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014. F. Karagumruk are expected to control this from the start. F. Karagumruk have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Bingol have conceded 3.38 and scored 0.07. Head-to-head, Bingol have won 0 to F. Karagumruk's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2014, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.99, favoring F. Karagumruk. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bingol
20%
Draws
80%
F. Karagumruk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: F. Karagumruk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • F. Karagumruk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans F. Karagumruk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Bingol Clean Sheet 20%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bingol F. Karagumruk
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 0 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 29 12
Goals Scored 0.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 3. Lig Group 1
Bingol vs F. Karagumruk
0:3
Nov 10, 2013 3. Lig Group 1
F. Karagumruk vs Bingol
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bingol 10 / 100
F. Karagumruk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bingol F. Karagumruk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick F. Karagumruk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bingol scored in 7% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: F. Karagumruk has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS F. Karagumruk
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bingol

(Home)
04 May
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 0
Bingol
27 Apr
Bingol
0 : 3
Adiyamanspor
20 Apr
Umraniyespor
3 : 0
Bingol
13 Apr
Yesil Bursa
3 : 0
Bingol
06 Apr
Bingol
0 : 3
Silivrispor
Page 1 of 6

F. Karagumruk

(Away)
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umraniyespor 34 20 9 5 57:32 69
2 Izmir Coruhlu 34 16 10 8 52:30 58
3 Ankara Demirspor 34 16 10 8 40:22 58
4 F. Karagumruk 34 15 12 7 45:24 57
5 Kahramanmaras Bld. 34 16 9 9 56:37 57
6 Silivrispor 34 14 13 7 42:30 55
7 Derincespor 34 15 10 9 40:31 55
8 Beylerbeyi SK 34 13 14 7 52:34 53
9 Sivas Dort 34 14 10 10 51:32 52
10 Hackaspor 34 14 9 11 39:30 51
11 Kemerspor 2003 34 13 9 12 47:31 48
12 Payasspor 34 12 9 13 47:37 45
13 Yesil Bursa 34 12 9 13 49:40 45
14 Kizilcabolukspor 34 11 11 12 41:36 44
15 Adiyamanspor 34 11 6 17 36:47 39
16 Cankaya FK 34 11 6 17 46:59 39
17 Siirtspor 33 2 4 27 9:76 7
18 Bingol 33 0 0 33 3:124 -3
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)