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Binh Duong vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Go Dau Stadium
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Tran Hoang Hung In: Doan Tuan Canh
Out: Tran Hoang Hung
57'
Sub
Nguyen Duc Viet In: Nguyen Hoang Trung Nguyen
Out: Nguyen Duc Viet
57'
Sub
Le Viktor In: Welder
Out: Le Viktor

AI Match Summary

Binh Duong host Hong Linh Ha Tinh in the V.League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hong Linh Ha Tinh have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Binh Duong have conceded 2 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Hong Linh Ha Tinh slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.25, favoring Hong Linh Ha Tinh. Hong Linh Ha Tinh in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Binh Duong
30%
Draws
34%
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hong Linh Ha Tinh has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Binh Duong.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Binh Duong.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in V.League 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 19%
Hong Linh Ha Tinh Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binh Duong Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh
2:0
Jan 30, 2026 V.League 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh vs Binh Duong
0:0
May 3, 2025 V.League 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh vs Binh Duong
3:1
Feb 16, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh
2:2
Mar 31, 2024 V.League 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh vs Binh Duong
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngo Tung Quoc
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hong Linh Ha Tinh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binh Duong 36 / 100
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binh Duong Hong Linh Ha Tinh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hong Linh Ha Tinh let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Binh Duong went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hong Linh Ha Tinh lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Binh Duong VS Hong Linh Ha Tinh
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324