Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Binissalem lately — more wins on the board than Collerense.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 68%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binissalem | Collerense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Collerense
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Binissalem
4:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Collerense
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Binissalem
0:0
Mar 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Collerense
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Binissalem 42 / 100
Collerense 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Binissalem Collerense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Collerense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Collerense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Binissalem scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Binissalem VS Collerense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Binissalem
(Home) 18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0 CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0 CD Son Cladera
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2 Mallorca B
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1 Formentera
Page 1 of 3
Collerense
(Away) 29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2 Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
02 Apr
CD Son Cladera
3 : 2 Collerense
21 Mar
Mallorca B
2 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
