Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Martin A.
20'
20'
Valles A.
49'
49'
Chentouf E.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 game between Binissalem and Soller finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Binissalem carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Binissalem taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Binissalem have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 20%
Soller Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binissalem | Soller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 3.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Soller
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Binissalem
1:3
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Soller
2:0
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Binissalem
1:1
Mar 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Soller
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Binissalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Valles A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chentouf E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Soller Compare
Top Goalscorer Martin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Binissalem 67 / 100
Soller 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Binissalem Soller
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Soller has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Soller lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Binissalem scored in 58% of their last 38 games.
Scoring Trends
Binissalem VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Binissalem
(Home) 18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0 CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1 Binissalem
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18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3 Cardassar
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0 CD Son Cladera
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2 Mallorca B
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1 Formentera
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Soller
(Away) 12 May
Soller
0 : 4 Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1 Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3 Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1 Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1 Inter Manacor
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05 May
Collerense
4 : 1 Soller
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1 Soller
14 Apr
Mercadal
2 : 0 Soller
27 Mar
Platges de Calvia
5 : 1 Soller
16 Mar
Alcudia
2 : 2 Soller
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 73:15 | 87 |
| 2 | Mallorca B | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 72:16 | 74 |
| 3 | UD Poblense | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 63:15 | 74 |
| 4 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 47:22 | 63 |
| 5 | Manacor | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 59:40 | 62 |
| 6 | Santanyi | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 46:23 | 56 |
| 7 | Constancia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:32 | 53 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 54:44 | 49 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 37:38 | 49 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:37 | 45 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 35:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Portmany | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:38 | 42 |
| 13 | Collerense | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Felanitx | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 37:53 | 35 |
| 15 | Alaior | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 27:51 | 31 |
| 16 | Arenal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28:59 | 26 |
| 17 | Soller | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 26:98 | 17 |
| 18 | Inter Manacor | 34 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 22:106 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
