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Birkenhead vs Ferrymead Bays - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Birkenhead host Ferrymead Bays in the National League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Birkenhead have averaged 2.26 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Ferrymead Bays's 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.31) point toward Birkenhead. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Birkenhead
15%
Draws
26%
Ferrymead Bays
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferrymead Bays haven't matched Birkenhead's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 18%
Ferrymead Bays Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkenhead Ferrymead Bays
Matches Played 31 5
Wins 17 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 2.26 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkenhead 31 / 100
Ferrymead Bays 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkenhead Ferrymead Bays

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birkenhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Birkenhead scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Ferrymead Bays's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.

Birkenhead has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Ferrymead Bays registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Birkenhead VS Ferrymead Bays
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkenhead

(Home)
10 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2
0 : 1
Birkenhead
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4
Cashmere Technical
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 7

Ferrymead Bays

(Away)
10 Oct
Ferrymead Bays
1 : 4
Miramar
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Ferrymead Bays
05 Jul
Ferrymead Bays
3 : 5
Coastal Spirit

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
3 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
8 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
9 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
10 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
11 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)